Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Giants LAD @ SF

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

16-7  |  Road

0
FINAL
Wed, Apr 22 • 9:45 PM ET
Oracle Park
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

10-13  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Jack Dreyer
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Dreyer

#86 | Relief Pitcher
@
Drew Gilbert
STARTING PITCHER

Drew Gilbert

#0 | Center Field
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jack Dreyer None-None 4.35 -- 1.0 --
Drew Gilbert None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
4.35 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
0%
📊
GIANTS
100%
DODGERS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
13.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 GiantsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

40.1%

Giants Cover

59.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAD By 3-4 runs

16.3%

SF By 1-2 runs

16.3%

SF By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
7
LOS ANGELES
6
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Giants (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim Giants (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 13.0
D
Sim u8.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 LAD @ SF 5 - 1
Sep 26, 2026 LAD @ SF 4 - 3
Sep 25, 2026 LAD @ SF 2 - 0
Sep 20, 2026 SF @ LAD 1 - 3
Sep 19, 2026 SF @ LAD 4 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
San Francisco SF
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.762 ▲
OPS
.706
204 ▲
Home Runs
178
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +69.6% more
Los Angeles: 1.7 vs San Francisco: 0.5
Total Bases (L5) +24.1% more
Los Angeles: 15.9 vs San Francisco: 12.1
Runs per Game (Season) +16.4% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs San Francisco: 4.1
Home Runs (Season) +12.7% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs San Francisco: 178.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 7.0 0
SF Score 6.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.2 / 9.3 8.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 1.7 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.8 / 7.2 5.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 12.1 / 15.9 12.0 / 4.0
Walks 4.5 / 2.4 3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
LAD
SF
LAD
ML
49% 79-81
56% 92-73
53% 85-75
48% 79-87
ATS
62% 100-60
59% 98-67
52% 83-77
43% 72-94
TTL
55% 82-68-10
48% 77-82-6
46% 68-81-11
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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