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ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

43-33-6  |  Road

6
FINAL
Wed, Apr 22 • 10:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

41-30-11  |  Home

4
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
📊
OILERS
0%
DUCKS --
OILERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Edmonton)
DucksANA (-3.5) 0 OilersEDM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ducks Cover

6.7%

Oilers Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

ANA By 1 goal

2.8%

ANA By 2-3 goals

1.2%

EDM By 1 goal

12.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
ANAHEIM
4
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
2
ANAHEIM
5
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Oilers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.0 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u7.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 7, 2026 EDM @ ANA 5 - 2
Apr 30, 2026 EDM @ ANA 2 - 5
Apr 28, 2026 ANA @ EDM 1 - 4
Apr 24, 2026 EDM @ ANA 4 - 7
Apr 22, 2026 ANA @ EDM 6 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +29.2% more
Edmonton: 24.0 vs Anaheim: 18.6
Power Play % (L5) +24.0%
Edmonton: 24.7% vs Anaheim: 0.7%
Faceoff % (L5) +10.0%
Edmonton: 57.4% vs Anaheim: 47.4%
Shots on Goal (L5) +8.8% more
Edmonton: 30.5 vs Anaheim: 28.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ANA Score 1.0 6
EDM Score 4.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
76%MONEY24%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
ANA
EDM
ANA
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
ATS
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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