NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
53-29 | Road
108
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
46-36 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
HAWKS
0%
KNICKS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ATL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
NY By 1-7 points
20.1%
NY By 8-14 points
9.3%
ATL By 1-7 points
27.4%
ATL By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
110
NEW YORK
Atlanta
114
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
New York
108
NEW YORK
Atlanta
117
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (+1)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o215.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim
u215.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 30, 2026
NY @ ATL
140 - 89
Apr 28, 2026
ATL @ NY
97 - 126
Apr 25, 2026
NY @ ATL
114 - 98
Apr 23, 2026
NY @ ATL
108 - 109
Apr 20, 2026
ATL @ NY
107 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+37.8% more
Atlanta: 4.8
vs
New York: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
110.0
108
ATL Score
114.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 36.3
39.0 / 29.0
Assists
25.3 / 24.0
19.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.8 / 3.5
8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 47.7
45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
71.6 / 72.4
69.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
41.1 / 43.2
45.0 / 46.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.4
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 12.3
16.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
ATL
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
ATL
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
NY
ATL
NY
ML
50%
52-52
61%
114-72
55%
48-40
56%
57-45
ATS
53%
55-48-1
67%
124-62
55%
48-40
56%
57-45
TTL
53%
55-48-1
72%
133-53
100%
88-0
100%
102-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
Hawks Look to Bounce Back Against Spurs in Preseason Clash