ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
12-11 | Road
5
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
10-14 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Perkins
#50 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cole Wilcox
#43 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Perkins | None-None | 3.86 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
| Cole Wilcox | None-None | 6.30 | -- | 2.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.86 Ldr
ERA
6.30
--
WHIP
--
2.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
2.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
0%
MARINERS
100%
ATHLETICS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.6%
ATH By 3-4 runs
16.3%
SEA By 1-2 runs
16.3%
SEA By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Athletics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim
Mariners (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
SEA @ ATH
7 - 8
Sep 12, 2026
SEA @ ATH
19 - 1
Sep 11, 2026
SEA @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 6, 2026
ATH @ SEA
0 - 2
Sep 5, 2026
ATH @ SEA
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.719
▲
OPS
.693
194
▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+25.7% more
Athletics: 3.7
vs
Seattle: 2.7
Strikeouts (L5)
+19.6% more
Athletics: 9.2
vs
Seattle: 7.4
Errors (L5)
+9.0% more
Athletics: 0.2
vs
Seattle: 0.1
Home Runs (Season)
+6.2% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Seattle: 182.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
4.0
5
SEA Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.9 / 9.0
8.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 1.7
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 9.2
10.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
16.0 / 16.1
11.0 / 23.0
Walks
2.7 / 3.7
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
ATH
SEA
ATH
ML
50%
81-81
59%
95-67
52%
85-77
54%
87-74
ATS
60%
98-64
52%
84-78
59%
95-67
50%
81-80
TTL
56%
85-67-10
54%
84-73-5
53%
81-71-10
42%
66-90-5
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