HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
8-15 | Road
9
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
13-10 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
AJ Blubaugh
#69 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tim Herrin
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Blubaugh | None-None | 6.60 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Tim Herrin | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.60
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ASTROS
0%
GUARDIANS
100%
ASTROS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
HOU By 1-2 runs
19.6%
HOU By 3-4 runs
16.3%
CLE By 1-2 runs
16.3%
CLE By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
5
HOUSTON
Cleveland
4
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Houston
4
HOUSTON
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Astros
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Guardians
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim
Guardians (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 21, 2026
CLE @ HOU
1 - 2
Jun 20, 2026
CLE @ HOU
8 - 1
Jun 19, 2026
CLE @ HOU
3 - 9
Apr 22, 2026
HOU @ CLE
2 - 0
Apr 21, 2026
HOU @ CLE
5 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Houston
HOU
vs
Cleveland
CLE
2
Games Played
▲
162
3.00
Runs / Game
▲
4.19
.169
Avg (AVG)
▲
.239
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.316
.354
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.380
.582
OPS
▲
.696
4
Home Runs
▲
162
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+36.6% more
Houston: 1.0
vs
Cleveland: 0.6
Walks (L5)
+13.3% more
Houston: 4.1
vs
Cleveland: 3.5
Home Runs (Season)
+3950.0% more
Cleveland: 162.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+39.7% more
Cleveland: 4.2
vs
Houston: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
5.0
9
CLE Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 1.0
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.9 / 6.8
8.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 1.4
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
11.5 / 10.7
4.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
12.7 / 13.0
10.0 / 24.0
Walks
3.5 / 4.1
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
HOU
CLE
HOU
ML
54%
87-74
50%
81-82
49%
80-82
47%
77-87
ATS
58%
93-68
56%
91-72
59%
95-67
55%
90-74
TTL
55%
88-71-2
45%
70-84-9
43%
69-90-2
45%
69-86-9
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