ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
11-11 | Road
6
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
10-13 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Hogan Harris
#36 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jose Ferrer
#45 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogan Harris | None-None | 2.51 | -- | 1.2 | 2 |
| Jose Ferrer | None-None | 3.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.51 Ldr
ERA
3.00
--
WHIP
--
1.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
MARINERS
0%
ATHLETICS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
ATH By 1-2 runs
16.3%
ATH By 3-4 runs
10.6%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Athletics (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
SEA @ ATH
7 - 8
Sep 12, 2026
SEA @ ATH
19 - 1
Sep 11, 2026
SEA @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 6, 2026
ATH @ SEA
0 - 2
Sep 5, 2026
ATH @ SEA
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.719
▲
OPS
.693
194
▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+39.0% more
Seattle: 1.4
vs
Athletics: 1.0
Hits (L5)
+17.9% more
Seattle: 8.3
vs
Athletics: 7.1
Total Bases (L5)
+11.5% more
Seattle: 14.0
vs
Athletics: 12.6
Walks (L5)
+38.3% more
Athletics: 5.0
vs
Seattle: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
3.0
6
SEA Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 7.1
10.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 1.0
2.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
9.1 / 9.3
4.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
14.0 / 12.6
20.0 / 23.0
Walks
3.1 / 5.0
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
ATH
SEA
ATH
ML
50%
81-81
59%
95-67
52%
85-77
54%
87-74
ATS
60%
98-64
52%
84-78
59%
95-67
50%
81-80
TTL
56%
85-67-10
54%
84-73-5
53%
81-71-10
42%
66-90-5
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