Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Rockies LAD @ COL

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

15-5  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sun, Apr 19 • 3:10 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

8-13  |  Home

9
Probable Pitchers
Edwin Diaz
STARTING PITCHER

Edwin Diaz

#3 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jimmy Herget
STARTING PITCHER

Jimmy Herget

#44 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Edwin Diaz None-None 10.50 -- -- --
Jimmy Herget None-None 1.64 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
10.50 ERA Ldr 1.64
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
0%
📊
ROCKIES
100%
DODGERS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

69.1%

Rockies Cover

30.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAD By 3-4 runs

18.4%

COL By 1-2 runs

13.6%

COL By 3-4 runs

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
4
LOS ANGELES
2
COLORADO
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Rockies (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u11.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u11.5 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 19, 2026 LAD @ COL 6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026 LAD @ COL 7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026 LAD @ COL 11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026 COL @ LAD 3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026 COL @ LAD 4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.762 ▲
OPS
.739
204 ▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +76.1% more
Los Angeles: 2.0 vs Colorado: 0.5
Total Bases (L5) +43.7% more
Los Angeles: 17.7 vs Colorado: 10.0
Hits (L5) +35.0% more
Los Angeles: 9.4 vs Colorado: 6.1
Strikeouts (L5) +12.0% more
Los Angeles: 9.2 vs Colorado: 8.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 4.0 6
COL Score 2.0 9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.9 / 0.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.1 / 9.4 15.0 / 15.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 2.0 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.1 / 9.2 7.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 10.0 / 17.7 25.0 / 18.0
Walks 3.5 / 2.4 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
83%MONEY17%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
88%MONEY12%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
LAD
COL
LAD
ML
60% 97-64
56% 92-73
55% 88-73
48% 79-87
ATS
60% 97-64
59% 98-67
52% 83-78
43% 72-94
TTL
60% 93-62-6
48% 77-82-6
50% 77-78-6
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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