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KANSAS CITY

ROYALSKC

7-14  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sun, Apr 19 • 1:35 PM ET
Yankee Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

12-9  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Michael Massey
STARTING PITCHER

Michael Massey

#19 | Second Base
@
Angel Chivilli
STARTING PITCHER

Angel Chivilli

#57 | RP
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Michael Massey None-None -- -- -- --
Angel Chivilli None-None 3.86 -- 1.2 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.86
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.2
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
📊
YANKEES
0%
ROYALS --
YANKEES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
RoyalsKC (-3.5) 0 YankeesNYY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Royals Cover

40.1%

Yankees Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)

KC By 1-2 runs

16.3%

KC By 3-4 runs

10.6%

NYY By 1-2 runs

19.6%

NYY By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
KANSAS CITY
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
4
KANSAS CITY
7
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Yankees Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Yankees Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Yankees (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Yankees (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u8.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim o8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 27, 2026 NYY @ KC 7 - 0
May 26, 2026 NYY @ KC 15 - 1
May 25, 2026 NYY @ KC 4 - 3
Apr 19, 2026 KC @ NYY 0 - 7
Apr 18, 2026 KC @ NYY 4 - 13
Season Statistics Comparison
Kansas City KC
vs
New York NYY
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.26
Runs / Game
▲ 9.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲ .375
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .447
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .594
.718
OPS
▲ 1.041
170 ▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +170.0% more
New York: 2.6 vs Kansas City: 0.9
Runs per Game (Season) +111.3% more
New York: 9.0 vs Kansas City: 4.3
Total Bases (L5) +61.8% more
New York: 18.1 vs Kansas City: 11.2
Strikeouts (L5) +37.9% more
New York: 9.8 vs Kansas City: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KC Score 3.0 0
NYY Score 4.0 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.0 / 6.7 7.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 2.6 / 0.9 3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.8 / 7.1 9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 18.1 / 11.2 17.0 / 8.0
Walks 2.9 / 5.0 2.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
69-93-0 (42.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: +0.6
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
KC
NYY
KC
ML
47% 76-85
55% 89-72
52% 85-77
56% 90-70
ATS
59% 95-66
57% 91-70
53% 86-76
58% 93-67
TTL
53% 81-73-7
58% 90-64-7
53% 82-72-7
54% 83-70-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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