Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Rockies LAD @ COL

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

15-4  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Apr 18 • 8:10 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

7-13  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Edgardo Henriquez
STARTING PITCHER

Edgardo Henriquez

#60 | Relief Pitcher
@
Brennan Bernardino
STARTING PITCHER

Brennan Bernardino

#83 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Edgardo Henriquez None-None 4.50 -- 1.0 2
Brennan Bernardino None-None 0.96 -- 1.1 2
None-None W-L None-None
4.50 ERA Ldr 0.96
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.1
2 K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
100%
📊
ROCKIES
0%
DODGERS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

40.1%

Rockies Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

LAD By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAD By 3-4 runs

10.6%

COL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

COL By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
LOS ANGELES
6
COLORADO
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rockies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rockies (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Rockies (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o10.5 Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim u10.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 19, 2026 LAD @ COL 6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026 LAD @ COL 7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026 LAD @ COL 11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026 COL @ LAD 3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026 COL @ LAD 4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.762 ▲
OPS
.739
204 ▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +62.6% more
Colorado: 4.3 vs Los Angeles: 2.7
Errors (L5) +14.0% more
Colorado: 0.3 vs Los Angeles: 0.2
Home Runs (L5) +64.2% more
Los Angeles: 2.0 vs Colorado: 0.7
Total Bases (L5) +49.1% more
Los Angeles: 18.5 vs Colorado: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 5.0 3
COL Score 6.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.2 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 5.6 / 10.0 7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 2.0 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.1 / 10.3 8.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 9.4 / 18.5 11.0 / 16.0
Walks 4.3 / 2.7 2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
93%MONEY7%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
LAD
COL
LAD
ML
60% 97-64
56% 92-73
55% 88-73
48% 79-87
ATS
60% 97-64
59% 98-67
52% 83-78
43% 72-94
TTL
60% 93-62-6
48% 77-82-6
50% 77-78-6
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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