TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
11-9 | Road
3
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
8-13 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cal Quantrill
#44 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill | None-None | 6.75 | -- | 3.0 | 5 |
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 9.00 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.75 Ldr
ERA
9.00
--
WHIP
--
3.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
5 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
MARINERS
100%
RANGERS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
18.4%
TEX By 3-4 runs
19.6%
SEA By 1-2 runs
10.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
5.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
6
TEXAS
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Texas
4
TEXAS
Seattle
6
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim
Mariners (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 10, 2026
TEX @ SEA
3 - 4
Sep 9, 2026
TEX @ SEA
2 - 3
Sep 8, 2026
TEX @ SEA
10 - 5
Jul 27, 2026
SEA @ TEX
3 - 7
Jul 26, 2026
SEA @ TEX
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.15
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.242
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.396
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.713
▲
OPS
.693
183
▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+67.2% more
Texas: 1.2
vs
Seattle: 0.4
Walks (L5)
+56.3% more
Texas: 5.0
vs
Seattle: 2.2
Total Bases (L5)
+42.4% more
Texas: 16.7
vs
Seattle: 9.6
Hits (L5)
+28.4% more
Texas: 10.1
vs
Seattle: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
6.0
3
SEA Score
3.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.0
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
7.2 / 10.1
11.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 1.2
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 7.5
8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
9.6 / 16.7
17.0 / 16.0
Walks
2.2 / 5.0
8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
TEX
SEA
TEX
ML
50%
81-81
53%
86-76
52%
85-77
57%
91-70
ATS
60%
98-64
57%
92-70
59%
95-67
61%
98-63
TTL
56%
85-67-10
53%
78-70-14
53%
81-71-10
55%
81-66-14
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