LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
14-4 | Road
7
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
7-12 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Dreyer
#86 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Brennan Bernardino
#83 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Dreyer | None-None | 2.16 | -- | 2.0 | 3 |
| Brennan Bernardino | None-None | 1.13 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.16
ERA
Ldr 1.13
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
100%
ROCKIES
0%
DODGERS
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
LAD By 1-2 runs
16.3%
LAD By 3-4 runs
10.6%
COL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
COL By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Colorado
7
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rockies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rockies (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Rockies (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim
o9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 19, 2026
LAD @ COL
6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026
LAD @ COL
7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026
LAD @ COL
11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026
COL @ LAD
3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026
COL @ LAD
4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.762
▲
OPS
.739
204
▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+100.0% more
Colorado: 5.0
vs
Los Angeles: 2.5
Errors (L5)
+21.0% more
Colorado: 0.4
vs
Los Angeles: 0.2
Home Runs (L5)
+46.3% more
Los Angeles: 2.0
vs
Colorado: 1.1
Total Bases (L5)
+25.4% more
Los Angeles: 16.3
vs
Colorado: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.0
7
COL Score
6.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.4 / 8.6
2.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 2.0
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 10.4
8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
12.2 / 16.3
4.0 / 23.0
Walks
5.0 / 2.5
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
LAD
COL
LAD
ML
60%
97-64
56%
92-73
55%
88-73
48%
79-87
ATS
60%
97-64
59%
98-67
52%
83-78
43%
72-94
TTL
60%
93-62-6
48%
77-82-6
50%
77-78-6
44%
70-90-6
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