KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
7-12 | Road
2
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
10-9 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Alex Lange
#56 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
David Bednar
#53 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lange | None-None | 5.19 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| David Bednar | None-None | 4.15 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.19
ERA
Ldr 4.15
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
YANKEES
0%
ROYALS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
KC By 1-2 runs
13.6%
KC By 3-4 runs
7.8%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.6%
NYY By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
2
KANSAS CITY
New York
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Kansas City
3
KANSAS CITY
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yankees
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yankees
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yankees (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Yankees (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u7.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 27, 2026
NYY @ KC
7 - 0
May 26, 2026
NYY @ KC
15 - 1
May 25, 2026
NYY @ KC
4 - 3
Apr 19, 2026
KC @ NYY
0 - 7
Apr 18, 2026
KC @ NYY
4 - 13
Season Statistics Comparison
Kansas City
KC
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.26
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.718
OPS
▲
1.041
170
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+111.3% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Kansas City: 4.3
Home Runs (L5)
+107.0% more
New York: 1.9
vs
Kansas City: 0.8
Walks (L5)
+26.1% more
New York: 4.4
vs
Kansas City: 3.5
Slugging Pct (Season)
+19.2%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Kansas City: 40.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
2.0
2
NYY Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.1
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.3 / 7.9
5.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.9 / 0.8
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 7.5
10.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
14.5 / 12.7
12.0 / 7.0
Walks
4.4 / 3.5
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
KC
NYY
KC
ML
47%
76-85
55%
89-72
52%
85-77
56%
90-70
ATS
59%
95-66
57%
91-70
53%
86-76
58%
93-67
TTL
53%
81-73-7
58%
90-64-7
53%
82-72-7
54%
83-70-7
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