TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
10-9 | Road
5
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
8-12 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Latz
#67 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jose Ferrer
#45 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Latz | None-None | 1.42 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Jose Ferrer | None-None | 3.52 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.42 Ldr
ERA
3.52
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
MARINERS
100%
RANGERS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
5.4%
TEX By 3-4 runs
10.6%
SEA By 1-2 runs
1.2%
SEA By 3-4 runs
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
10
TEXAS
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Texas
4
TEXAS
Seattle
6
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -8.0
D
Sim
Mariners (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 12.0
D
Sim
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 10, 2026
TEX @ SEA
3 - 4
Sep 9, 2026
TEX @ SEA
2 - 3
Sep 8, 2026
TEX @ SEA
10 - 5
Jul 27, 2026
SEA @ TEX
3 - 7
Jul 26, 2026
SEA @ TEX
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.15
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.242
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.396
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.713
▲
OPS
.693
183
▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+54.3% more
Texas: 5.0
vs
Seattle: 2.3
Home Runs (L5)
+54.0% more
Texas: 1.2
vs
Seattle: 0.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+20.7% more
Texas: 7.8
vs
Seattle: 6.2
Total Bases (L5)
+16.3% more
Texas: 13.0
vs
Seattle: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
10.0
5
SEA Score
2.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.8 / 7.6
6.0 / 15.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.2
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.2 / 7.8
12.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
10.9 / 13.0
7.0 / 24.0
Walks
2.3 / 5.0
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
TEX
SEA
TEX
ML
50%
81-81
53%
86-76
52%
85-77
57%
91-70
ATS
60%
98-64
57%
92-70
59%
95-67
61%
98-63
TTL
56%
85-67-10
53%
78-70-14
53%
81-71-10
55%
81-66-14
Contextual Game News
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…