OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
44-27-11 | Road
0
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
53-22-7 | Home
2
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
SENATORS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
OTT By 1 goal
2.8%
OTT By 2-3 goals
1.2%
CAR By 1 goal
12.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
1
OTTAWA
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 25, 2026
CAR @ OTT
4 - 2
Apr 23, 2026
CAR @ OTT
2 - 1
Apr 20, 2026
OTT @ CAR
2 - 3
Apr 18, 2026
OTT @ CAR
0 - 2
Apr 5, 2026
CAR @ OTT
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+29.0% more
Carolina: 31.3
vs
Ottawa: 24.3
Power Play % (L5)
+43.0%
Ottawa: 63.5%
vs
Carolina: 20.5%
Hits (L5)
+19.4% more
Ottawa: 23.1
vs
Carolina: 18.7
Takeaways (L5)
+12.2% more
Ottawa: 5.1
vs
Carolina: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
1.0
0
CAR Score
4.0
2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
OTT
CAR
OTT
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
100%
4-0
67%
2-1
TTL
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
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