CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
44-38 | Road
90
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
45-37 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
MAGIC
100%
HORNETS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
CHA By 1-7 points
26.8%
CHA By 8-14 points
18.6%
ORL By 1-7 points
23.0%
ORL By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
109
CHARLOTTE
Orlando
107
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Charlotte
98
CHARLOTTE
Orlando
110
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+3)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u217.5
Win
Proj Total: 216.0
D
Sim
u217.5
Win
Proj Total: 208.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 17, 2026
CHA @ ORL
90 - 121
Mar 19, 2026
ORL @ CHA
111 - 130
Jan 22, 2026
CHA @ ORL
124 - 97
Dec 26, 2025
CHA @ ORL
120 - 105
Oct 30, 2025
ORL @ CHA
123 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+18.0% more
Charlotte: 5.9
vs
Orlando: 4.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.7%
Charlotte: 87.1%
vs
Orlando: 76.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Charlotte: 34.3%
vs
Orlando: 31.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+26.3% more
Orlando: 16.3
vs
Charlotte: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
109.0
90
ORL Score
107.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.1 / 34.3
30.0 / 27.0
Assists
24.9 / 25.0
27.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.8 / 5.9
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 44.5
50.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
76.3 / 87.1
78.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
44.8 / 47.4
49.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.3 / 6.3
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 12.9
14.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
CHA
ORL
CHA
ML
61%
65-42
61%
60-39
56%
51-40
48%
40-44
ATS
64%
68-38-1
60%
59-40
56%
51-40
48%
40-44
TTL
57%
61-46
58%
57-42
100%
91-0
100%
84-0
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