Home / NHL Projections NHL / Blues @ Mammoth STL @ UTA

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

36-33-12  |  Road

5
FINAL
Thu, Apr 16 • 7:30 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

43-32-6  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
@
Karel Vejmelka
GOALTENDER

Karel Vejmelka

#70 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joel Hofer None-None 3.00 0.870 --
Karel Vejmelka None-None 4.50 0.833 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 Ldr GAA 4.50
0.870 Ldr Save % 0.833
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
📊
MAMMOTH
100%
BLUES --
MAMMOTH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (St. Louis)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 MammothUTA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

84.1%

Mammoth Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

STL By 1 goal

17.5%

STL By 2-3 goals

37.2%

UTA By 1 goal

6.6%

UTA By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
ST. LOUIS
1
UTAH
Simulated Score
2
ST. LOUIS
4
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mammoth Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Mammoth (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 16, 2026 STL @ UTA 5 - 3
Jan 9, 2026 STL @ UTA 2 - 4
Nov 29, 2025 UTA @ STL 0 - 1
Oct 23, 2025 UTA @ STL 7 - 4
Apr 15, 2025 UTA @ STL 1 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +28.5% more
St. Louis: 30.8 vs Utah: 22.0
Blocked Shots (L5) +16.4% more
St. Louis: 6.3 vs Utah: 5.3
Takeaways (L5) +39.6% more
Utah: 5.9 vs St. Louis: 4.2
Power Play % (L5) +31.6%
Utah: 33.0% vs St. Louis: 1.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 3.0 5
UTA Score 1.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
62%MONEY38%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
69%MONEY31%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
STL
UTA
STL
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
ATS
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 1-1-1
75% 3-1
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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