COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
6-12 | Road
3
HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
8-11 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jimmy Herget
#44 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kai-Wei Teng
#17 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Herget | None-None | 1.80 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Kai-Wei Teng | None-None | 2.31 | -- | 2.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.80 Ldr
ERA
2.31
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
0%
ASTROS
100%
ROCKIES
--
ASTROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around COL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
COL By 3-4 runs
18.4%
HOU By 1-2 runs
13.6%
HOU By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Houston
4
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Houston
8
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rockies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Astros
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rockies (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Astros (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 12.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 16, 2026
COL @ HOU
3 - 2
Apr 15, 2026
COL @ HOU
1 - 3
Apr 14, 2026
COL @ HOU
6 - 7
Apr 8, 2026
HOU @ COL
1 - 9
Apr 7, 2026
HOU @ COL
1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Houston
HOU
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.739
▲
OPS
.582
180
▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+97.8% more
Colorado: 180.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+35.3% more
Colorado: 4.6
vs
Houston: 3.0
Home Runs (L5)
+24.1% more
Colorado: 1.1
vs
Houston: 0.9
Errors (L5)
+22.0% more
Colorado: 0.7
vs
Houston: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
6.0
3
HOU Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.7 / 6.6
5.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.1
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.4 / 5.8
5.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
12.6 / 11.7
7.0 / 13.0
Walks
5.0 / 4.5
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
HOU
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
COL
HOU
COL
ML
50%
81-82
60%
97-64
47%
77-87
55%
88-73
ATS
56%
91-72
60%
97-64
55%
90-74
52%
83-78
TTL
45%
70-84-9
60%
93-62-6
45%
69-86-9
50%
77-78-6
Contextual Game News
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
Yankees' Season Ends in Sweep as Boone Faces Fan Fury Over 'Brok…