LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
9-10 | Road
11
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
10-8 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Sam Bachman
#40 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Yarbrough
#33 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bachman | None-None | 3.48 | -- | 3.0 | 2 |
| Ryan Yarbrough | None-None | 5.63 | -- | 2.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.48 Ldr
ERA
5.63
--
WHIP
--
3.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
2.1
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
0%
YANKEES
100%
ANGELS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
LAA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
LAA By 3-4 runs
18.4%
NYY By 1-2 runs
13.6%
NYY By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
New York
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Angels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yankees
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Angels (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Yankees (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u10.0
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
u10.0
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
NYY @ LAA
6 - 3
Sep 1, 2026
NYY @ LAA
7 - 3
Aug 31, 2026
NYY @ LAA
1 - 10
Apr 16, 2026
LAA @ NYY
11 - 4
Apr 15, 2026
LAA @ NYY
4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.679
OPS
▲
1.041
154
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+98.7% more
Los Angeles: 154.0
vs
New York: 2.0
Home Runs (L5)
+50.7% more
Los Angeles: 2.7
vs
New York: 1.3
Walks (L5)
+33.0% more
Los Angeles: 4.5
vs
New York: 3.0
Total Bases (L5)
+28.3% more
Los Angeles: 18.5
vs
New York: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
6.0
11
NYY Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.0 / 9.1
8.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 2.7
3.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 8.4
7.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
13.2 / 18.5
17.0 / 19.0
Walks
3.0 / 4.5
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
LAA
NYY
LAA
ML
47%
76-85
59%
96-66
52%
85-77
55%
89-73
ATS
59%
95-66
60%
97-65
53%
86-76
51%
82-80
TTL
53%
81-73-7
53%
83-74-5
53%
82-72-7
52%
82-75-5
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