COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
6-11 | Road
1
HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
7-11 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tanner Gordon
#29 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Enyel De Los Santos
#65 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Gordon | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 4.0 | 4 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | None-None | 1.35 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
1.35
--
WHIP
--
4.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
100%
ASTROS
0%
ROCKIES
--
ASTROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around HOU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
COL By 1-2 runs
16.3%
COL By 3-4 runs
10.6%
HOU By 1-2 runs
19.6%
HOU By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Houston
6
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Houston
8
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Astros
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Astros
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Astros (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Astros (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 14.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 16, 2026
COL @ HOU
3 - 2
Apr 15, 2026
COL @ HOU
1 - 3
Apr 14, 2026
COL @ HOU
6 - 7
Apr 8, 2026
HOU @ COL
1 - 9
Apr 7, 2026
HOU @ COL
1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Houston
HOU
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.739
▲
OPS
.582
180
▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+36.2% more
Houston: 5.0
vs
Colorado: 3.7
Strikeouts (L5)
+31.8% more
Houston: 8.1
vs
Colorado: 6.2
Home Runs (Season)
+97.8% more
Colorado: 180.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Errors (L5)
+83.0% more
Colorado: 1.0
vs
Houston: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
5.0
1
HOU Score
6.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 1.0
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.0 / 8.5
5.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.7
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 6.2
15.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
13.3 / 15.1
11.0 / 5.0
Walks
5.0 / 3.7
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
HOU
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
COL
HOU
COL
ML
50%
81-82
60%
97-64
47%
77-87
55%
88-73
ATS
56%
91-72
60%
97-64
55%
90-74
52%
83-78
TTL
45%
70-84-9
60%
93-62-6
45%
69-86-9
50%
77-78-6
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
Yankees' Season Ends in Sweep as Boone Faces Fan Fury Over 'Brok…
Padres' Bullpen Boosted for Game 4 as Miller Returns, King Avail…