Home / NHL Projections NHL / Red Wings @ Panthers DET @ FLA

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

41-30-10  |  Road

1
FINAL
Wed, Apr 15 • 7:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

39-38-4  |  Home

8
Goaltending
Daniil Tarasov
GOALTENDER

Daniil Tarasov

#80 | Goaltender
@
Ludvig Jansson
GOALTENDER

Ludvig Jansson

#54 | D
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Daniil Tarasov None-None 1.00 0.962 --
Ludvig Jansson None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 GAA --
0.962 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
RED WINGS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Florida)
Red WingsDET (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Wings Cover

6.7%

Panthers Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

DET By 1 goal

2.8%

DET By 2-3 goals

1.2%

FLA By 1 goal

12.1%

FLA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
DETROIT
4
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
4
DETROIT
2
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Wings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Red Wings (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 15, 2026 DET @ FLA 1 - 8
Mar 10, 2026 DET @ FLA 3 - 4
Mar 6, 2026 FLA @ DET 3 - 1
Oct 15, 2025 FLA @ DET 1 - 4
Apr 10, 2025 DET @ FLA 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +49.7% more
Florida: 26.9 vs Detroit: 18.0
Faceoff % (L5) +15.9%
Florida: 56.9% vs Detroit: 41.0%
Takeaways (L5) +32.9% more
Detroit: 4.4 vs Florida: 2.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +29.7% more
Detroit: 13.0 vs Florida: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 1.0 1
FLA Score 4.0 8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
31%MONEY69%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
DET
FLA
DET
ML
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
TTL
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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