TAMPA BAY
RAYSTB
9-7 | Road
8
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
6-11 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ian Seymour
#61 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan Hudson
#60 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Seymour | None-None | 10.57 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Bryan Hudson | None-None | 2.35 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
10.57
ERA
Ldr 2.35
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
RAYS
100%
WHITE SOX
0%
RAYS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
TB By 1-2 runs
16.3%
TB By 3-4 runs
10.6%
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Tampa Bay
2
TAMPA BAY
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Tampa Bay
3
TAMPA BAY
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
White Sox
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
White Sox (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 2, 2026
CHW @ TB
9 - 1
Aug 1, 2026
CHW @ TB
0 - 1
Jul 31, 2026
CHW @ TB
6 - 1
Apr 16, 2026
TB @ CHW
5 - 3
Apr 15, 2026
TB @ CHW
8 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Tampa Bay
TB
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.54
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.258
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.326
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.728
OPS
▲
.826
169
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+89.0% more
Chicago: 1.1
vs
Tampa Bay: 0.3
Runs per Game (Season)
+32.2% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Tampa Bay: 4.5
OPS (Season)
+9.8%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Tampa Bay: 72.8%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+8.9%
Chicago: 41.5%
vs
Tampa Bay: 32.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TB Score
2.0
8
CHW Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 1.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.2 / 10.0
7.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.3
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 7.8
5.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
9.7 / 13.6
9.0 / 20.0
Walks
4.5 / 4.7
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TB
Advantage
101-64-0
(61.2%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-:
CHW
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TB
(53.3%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TB
76-83-6
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: +0.6
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
TB
CHW
TB
ML
49%
81-86
58%
95-68
56%
94-73
58%
95-68
ATS
59%
99-68
60%
97-66
56%
93-74
55%
90-73
TTL
58%
96-69-2
47%
73-81-9
51%
84-81-2
51%
78-75-10
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