COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
6-8 | Road
6
HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
6-8 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Zach Agnos
#36 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Enyel De Los Santos
#65 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Agnos | None-None | 6.75 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | None-None | 1.59 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.75
ERA
Ldr 1.59
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
0%
ASTROS
100%
ROCKIES
--
ASTROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around COL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
COL By 3-4 runs
18.4%
HOU By 1-2 runs
13.6%
HOU By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
7
COLORADO
Houston
5
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Colorado
7
COLORADO
Houston
6
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rockies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rockies (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Rockies (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 12.0
D
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 13.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 16, 2026
COL @ HOU
3 - 2
Apr 15, 2026
COL @ HOU
1 - 3
Apr 14, 2026
COL @ HOU
6 - 7
Apr 8, 2026
HOU @ COL
1 - 9
Apr 7, 2026
HOU @ COL
1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Houston
HOU
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.739
▲
OPS
.582
180
▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+97.8% more
Colorado: 180.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+35.3% more
Colorado: 4.6
vs
Houston: 3.0
Home Runs (L5)
+35.3% more
Colorado: 1.0
vs
Houston: 0.7
Errors (L5)
+23.0% more
Colorado: 0.5
vs
Houston: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
7.0
6
HOU Score
5.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.5
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
8.5 / 6.7
10.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.0
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
6.2 / 4.7
12.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
12.0 / 11.2
16.0 / 23.0
Walks
5.5 / 5.0
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
HOU
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
COL
HOU
COL
ML
50%
81-82
60%
97-64
47%
77-87
55%
88-73
ATS
56%
91-72
60%
97-64
55%
90-74
52%
83-78
TTL
45%
70-84-9
60%
93-62-6
45%
69-86-9
50%
77-78-6
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