Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Yankees LAA @ NYY

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

7-7  |  Road

7
FINAL
Tue, Apr 14 • 7:05 PM ET
Yankee Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

8-5  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
@
Brent Headrick
STARTING PITCHER

Brent Headrick

#47 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Reid Detmers None-None 3.57 -- 7.0 9
Brent Headrick None-None 1.93 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.57 ERA Ldr 1.93
-- WHIP --
7.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
9 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
100%
📊
YANKEES
0%
ANGELS --
YANKEES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 YankeesNYY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

40.1%

Yankees Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

NYY By 1-2 runs

19.6%

NYY By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
LOS ANGELES
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
6
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Yankees Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Yankees Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Yankees (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Yankees (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u9.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim o9.5 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 2, 2026 NYY @ LAA 6 - 3
Sep 1, 2026 NYY @ LAA 7 - 3
Aug 31, 2026 NYY @ LAA 1 - 10
Apr 16, 2026 LAA @ NYY 11 - 4
Apr 15, 2026 LAA @ NYY 4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
New York NYY
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 9.00
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .375
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .447
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .594
.679
OPS
▲ 1.041
154 ▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +122.8% more
New York: 9.0 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Home Runs (L5) +63.8% more
New York: 2.3 vs Los Angeles: 1.4
Slugging Pct (Season) +22.5%
New York: 59.4% vs Los Angeles: 36.9%
Total Bases (L5) +17.9% more
New York: 18.0 vs Los Angeles: 15.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.0 7
NYY Score 4.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.9 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.8 / 9.2 5.0 / 12.0
Home Runs 2.3 / 1.4 0.0 / 5.0
Strikeouts 8.2 / 8.4 12.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 18.0 / 15.3 7.0 / 27.0
Walks 2.3 / 6.4 6.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
LAA
NYY
LAA
ML
47% 76-85
59% 96-66
52% 85-77
55% 89-73
ATS
59% 95-66
60% 97-65
53% 86-76
51% 82-80
TTL
53% 81-73-7
53% 83-74-5
53% 82-72-7
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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