Home / NHL Projections NHL / Jets @ Mammoth WPG @ UTA

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

35-31-12  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Apr 14 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

42-30-6  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Dylan Samberg
GOALTENDER

Dylan Samberg

#54 | Defense
@
Karel Vejmelka
GOALTENDER

Karel Vejmelka

#70 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dylan Samberg None-None -- -- --
Karel Vejmelka None-None 3.03 0.875 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 3.03
-- Save % 0.875
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
📊
MAMMOTH
100%
JETS --
MAMMOTH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Winnipeg)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 MammothUTA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

84.1%

Mammoth Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)

WPG By 1 goal

17.5%

WPG By 2-3 goals

37.2%

UTA By 1 goal

6.6%

UTA By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
WINNIPEG
1
UTAH
Simulated Score
2
WINNIPEG
4
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mammoth Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jets (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Mammoth (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 14, 2026 WPG @ UTA 3 - 5
Dec 21, 2025 WPG @ UTA 3 - 4
Oct 26, 2025 UTA @ WPG 3 - 2
Apr 5, 2025 WPG @ UTA 1 - 4
Jan 24, 2025 UTA @ WPG 2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +64.8% more
Winnipeg: 14.9 vs Utah: 5.3
Faceoff % (L5) +14.1%
Winnipeg: 65.1% vs Utah: 51.0%
Takeaways (L5) +59.3% more
Utah: 5.9 vs Winnipeg: 3.7
Shots on Goal (L5) +32.4% more
Utah: 22.0 vs Winnipeg: 16.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 3.0 3
UTA Score 1.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
76%MONEY24%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
WPG
UTA
WPG
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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