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PITTSBURGH

PENGUINSPIT

41-22-16  |  Road

5
FINAL
Tue, Apr 14 • 9:30 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

33-33-12  |  Home

7
Goaltending
Arturs Silovs
GOALTENDER

Arturs Silovs

#37 | Goaltender
@
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Arturs Silovs None-None 6.86 0.778 --
Jordan Binnington None-None 5.00 0.783 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
6.86 GAA Ldr 5.00
0.778 Save % Ldr 0.783
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
📊
BLUES
0%
PENGUINS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (St. Louis)
PenguinsPIT (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Penguins Cover

30.9%

Blues Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

PIT By 1 goal

12.1%

PIT By 2-3 goals

9.3%

STL By 1 goal

19.7%

STL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
5
PITTSBURGH
6
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
2
PITTSBURGH
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blues (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Blues (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 14, 2026 PIT @ STL 5 - 7
Oct 27, 2025 STL @ PIT 3 - 6
Apr 3, 2025 PIT @ STL 4 - 5
Mar 13, 2025 STL @ PIT 3 - 5
Dec 30, 2023 STL @ PIT 2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +28.1% more
St. Louis: 16.5 vs Pittsburgh: 12.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +43.5% more
Pittsburgh: 11.1 vs St. Louis: 6.3
Takeaways (L5) +18.8% more
Pittsburgh: 5.4 vs St. Louis: 4.4
Faceoff % (L5) +11.6%
Pittsburgh: 46.3% vs St. Louis: 34.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PIT Score 5.0 5
STL Score 6.0 7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
50%MONEY50%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
PIT
STL
PIT
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 1-1-1
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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