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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

51-22-6  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Apr 14 • 7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

43-31-5  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Brandon Bussi
GOALTENDER

Brandon Bussi

#32 | Goaltender
@
Matthew Schaefer
GOALTENDER

Matthew Schaefer

#48 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Brandon Bussi None-None 1.00 0.967 --
Matthew Schaefer None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 GAA --
0.967 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
📊
ISLANDERS
100%
HURRICANES --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Carolina)
HurricanesCAR (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

97.7%

Islanders Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

CAR By 1 goal

6.6%

CAR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

NYI By 1 goal

0.9%

NYI By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
CAROLINA
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 14, 2026 CAR @ NYI 2 - 1
Apr 4, 2026 NYI @ CAR 3 - 4
Oct 30, 2025 NYI @ CAR 2 - 6
Mar 30, 2025 NYI @ CAR 4 - 6
Jan 25, 2025 CAR @ NYI 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +28.5% more
Carolina: 31.3 vs New York: 22.4
Takeaways (L5) +18.9% more
Carolina: 5.2 vs New York: 4.2
Power Play % (L5) +16.9%
Carolina: 20.5% vs New York: 3.6%
Blocked Shots (L5) +12.8% more
New York: 12.3 vs Carolina: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 5.0 2
NYI Score 1.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
50%MONEY50%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
59%MONEY41%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
CAR
NYI
CAR
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
100% 2-0-1
0% 0-4
100% 2-0-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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