ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
46-36 | Road
102
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
53-29 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
KNICKS
100%
HAWKS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
ATL By 1-7 points
27.4%
ATL By 8-14 points
21.6%
NY By 1-7 points
20.1%
NY By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
113
ATLANTA
New York
109
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Atlanta
108
ATLANTA
New York
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+6)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o218.0
Loss
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u218.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 30, 2026
NY @ ATL
140 - 89
Apr 28, 2026
ATL @ NY
97 - 126
Apr 25, 2026
NY @ ATL
114 - 98
Apr 23, 2026
NY @ ATL
108 - 109
Apr 20, 2026
ATL @ NY
107 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+42.4% more
Atlanta: 4.1
vs
New York: 2.4
Turnovers (L5)
+20.2% more
Atlanta: 14.6
vs
New York: 11.7
Rebounding (L5)
+12.9% more
Atlanta: 45.4
vs
New York: 39.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Atlanta: 38.4%
vs
New York: 33.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
113.0
102
NY Score
109.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 38.4
48.0 / 38.0
Assists
26.5 / 27.8
22.0 / 25.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.1
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 47.6
48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
74.1 / 71.1
83.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
39.5 / 45.4
45.0 / 40.0
Steals
9.4 / 7.6
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 14.6
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
ATL
NY
ATL
ML
61%
114-72
50%
52-52
56%
57-45
55%
48-40
ATS
67%
124-62
53%
55-48-1
56%
57-45
55%
48-40
TTL
72%
133-53
53%
55-48-1
100%
102-0
100%
88-0
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