TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
46-36 | Road
113
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
52-30 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
RAPTORS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
248.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
TOR By 1-7 points
10.7%
TOR By 8-14 points
3.3%
CLE By 1-7 points
23.0%
CLE By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
119
TORONTO
Cleveland
129
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Toronto
108
TORONTO
Cleveland
112
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o221.0
Win
Proj Total: 248.0
D
Sim
u221.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 3, 2026
TOR @ CLE
102 - 114
May 1, 2026
CLE @ TOR
110 - 112
Apr 29, 2026
TOR @ CLE
120 - 125
Apr 26, 2026
CLE @ TOR
89 - 93
Apr 23, 2026
CLE @ TOR
104 - 126
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+32.9% more
Cleveland: 16.2
vs
Toronto: 12.2
Rebounding (L5)
+16.1% more
Cleveland: 47.0
vs
Toronto: 40.5
Blocks (L5)
+8.6% more
Cleveland: 4.8
vs
Toronto: 4.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.8%
Cleveland: 80.2%
vs
Toronto: 72.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
119.0
113
CLE Score
129.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 41.9
50.0 / 48.0
Assists
28.2 / 30.7
24.0 / 29.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.4
0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
50.5 / 54.7
54.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
80.2 / 72.4
79.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
47.0 / 40.5
33.0 / 27.0
Steals
8.0 / 8.6
9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
16.2 / 12.2
17.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
TOR
CLE
TOR
ML
60%
69-46
55%
57-47
56%
55-44
55%
48-39
ATS
67%
75-37-3
61%
62-40-2
56%
55-44
55%
48-39
TTL
59%
68-47
60%
62-42
100%
99-0
100%
87-0
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