GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
37-45 | Road
126
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
42-40 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
WARRIORS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
GS By 1-7 points
13.7%
GS By 8-14 points
4.8%
LAC By 1-7 points
25.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Golden State
107
GOLDEN STATE
LA
115
LA
Simulated Score
Golden State
112
GOLDEN STATE
LA
118
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o220.5
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u220.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 15, 2026
GS @ LAC
126 - 121
Apr 12, 2026
GS @ LAC
110 - 115
Mar 2, 2026
LAC @ GS
114 - 101
Jan 5, 2026
GS @ LAC
102 - 103
Oct 28, 2025
LAC @ GS
79 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+22.9% more
LA: 4.1
vs
Golden State: 3.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
LA: 36.9%
vs
Golden State: 33.6%
Steals (L5)
+13.1% more
Golden State: 7.5
vs
LA: 6.5
Assists (L5)
+10.5% more
Golden State: 26.8
vs
LA: 23.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GS Score
107.0
126
LAC Score
115.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.9 / 33.6
40.0 / 46.0
Assists
23.9 / 26.8
30.0 / 29.0
Blocks
4.1 / 3.4
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 46.1
52.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
85.5 / 88.0
100.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
40.7 / 40.8
36.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.5 / 7.5
15.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 14.0
18.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
GS
LAC
GS
ML
60%
59-40
55%
95-79
55%
45-37
58%
49-35
ATS
66%
65-33-1
58%
101-73
55%
45-37
58%
49-35
TTL
59%
58-40-1
77%
134-40
100%
82-0
100%
84-0
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