ORLANDO
MAGICORL
45-37 | Road
97
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
45-37 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
76ERS
100%
MAGIC
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
27.4%
ORL By 8-14 points
21.6%
PHI By 1-7 points
20.1%
PHI By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
113
ORLANDO
Philadelphia
109
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Orlando
109
ORLANDO
Philadelphia
117
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u223.0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u223.0
Win
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 15, 2026
ORL @ PHI
97 - 109
Jan 9, 2026
PHI @ ORL
103 - 91
Nov 25, 2025
ORL @ PHI
144 - 103
Oct 27, 2025
ORL @ PHI
124 - 136
Oct 10, 2025
ORL @ PHI
128 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.1% more
Orlando: 5.2
vs
Philadelphia: 3.6
Turnovers (L5)
+25.5% more
Orlando: 17.0
vs
Philadelphia: 12.7
Assists (L5)
+18.1% more
Orlando: 27.9
vs
Philadelphia: 22.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Orlando: 33.6%
vs
Philadelphia: 31.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
113.0
97
PHI Score
109.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 33.6
34.0 / 26.0
Assists
22.8 / 27.9
17.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.6 / 5.2
9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 47.0
45.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
78.0 / 76.0
84.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
47.9 / 46.7
40.0 / 41.0
Steals
10.9 / 8.5
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 17.0
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
ORL
PHI
ORL
ML
63%
69-40
61%
65-42
48%
45-48
56%
51-40
ATS
65%
71-38
64%
68-38-1
48%
45-48
56%
51-40
TTL
55%
60-49
57%
61-46
100%
93-0
100%
91-0
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