Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Yankees LAA @ NYY

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

7-7  |  Road

10
FINAL
Mon, Apr 13 • 7:05 PM ET
Yankee Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

8-5  |  Home

11
Probable Pitchers
Mitch Farris
STARTING PITCHER

Mitch Farris

#70 | Relief Pitcher
@
Paul Blackburn
STARTING PITCHER

Paul Blackburn

#58 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Mitch Farris None-None 2.08 -- 1.1 1
Paul Blackburn None-None 1.80 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
2.08 ERA Ldr 1.80
-- WHIP --
1.1 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
0%
📊
YANKEES
100%
ANGELS --
YANKEES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 YankeesNYY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

77.3%

Yankees Cover

22.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

18.4%

LAA By 3-4 runs

19.6%

NYY By 1-2 runs

10.6%

NYY By 3-4 runs

5.4%

AI Model Projected Score
7
LOS ANGELES
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Angels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Yankees Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Angels (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim Yankees (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o9.5 Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim u9.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 2, 2026 NYY @ LAA 6 - 3
Sep 1, 2026 NYY @ LAA 7 - 3
Aug 31, 2026 NYY @ LAA 1 - 10
Apr 16, 2026 LAA @ NYY 11 - 4
Apr 15, 2026 LAA @ NYY 4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
New York NYY
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 9.00
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .375
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .447
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .594
.679
OPS
▲ 1.041
154 ▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +98.7% more
Los Angeles: 154.0 vs New York: 2.0
Walks (L5) +67.8% more
Los Angeles: 6.1 vs New York: 2.0
Errors (L5) +42.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.8 vs New York: 0.4
Hits (L5) +21.6% more
Los Angeles: 7.8 vs New York: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 7.0 10
NYY Score 4.0 11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.8 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 6.2 / 7.8 14.0 / 12.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 1.1 5.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.3 / 9.0 8.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 11.0 / 12.9 32.0 / 20.0
Walks 2.0 / 6.1 3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
95-71-0 (57.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
NYY Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
LAA
NYY
LAA
ML
47% 76-85
59% 96-66
52% 85-77
55% 89-73
ATS
59% 95-66
60% 97-65
53% 86-76
51% 82-80
TTL
53% 81-73-7
53% 83-74-5
53% 82-72-7
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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