MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
8-6 | Road
10
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
9-5 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER
John King
#47 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Holmes
#66 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John King | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Grant Holmes | None-None | 3.32 | -- | 4.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
3.32
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 4.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
MARLINS
100%
BRAVES
0%
MARLINS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
MIA By 1-2 runs
16.3%
MIA By 3-4 runs
10.6%
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
ATL By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami
2
MIAMI
Atlanta
3
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Miami
4
MIAMI
Atlanta
6
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Braves (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
ATL @ MIA
3 - 5
Sep 26, 2026
ATL @ MIA
8 - 3
Sep 25, 2026
ATL @ MIA
0 - 3
Aug 6, 2026
MIA @ ATL
3 - 11
Aug 5, 2026
MIA @ ATL
1 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Miami
MIA
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.41
Runs / Game
▲
5.00
.249
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.326
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.324
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.727
OPS
▲
.757
168
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+86.7% more
Atlanta: 12.2
vs
Miami: 6.5
Total Bases (L5)
+77.6% more
Atlanta: 19.1
vs
Miami: 10.7
Home Runs (L5)
+63.0% more
Atlanta: 1.1
vs
Miami: 0.5
Runs per Game (Season)
+13.4% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
Miami: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIA Score
2.0
10
ATL Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 1.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
12.2 / 6.5
9.0 / 16.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.5
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.2 / 7.0
9.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
19.1 / 10.7
10.0 / 22.0
Walks
3.7 / 3.3
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
MIA
ATL
MIA
ML
46%
77-90
48%
78-84
54%
90-78
55%
88-72
ATS
57%
96-71
56%
91-71
52%
87-81
54%
86-74
TTL
53%
83-73-11
56%
88-69-5
49%
76-80-11
53%
82-73-5
Contextual Game News
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Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3
Shohei Ohtani's Slump Raises Concerns for Dodgers in NLDS