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BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

49-23-8  |  Road

5
FINAL
Mon, Apr 13 • 8:30 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BLACKHAWKSCHI

28-37-14  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
GOALTENDER

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

#1 | Goaltender
@
Spencer Knight
GOALTENDER

Spencer Knight

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen None-None 1.00 0.938 --
Spencer Knight None-None 5.03 0.808 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 5.03
0.938 Ldr Save % 0.808
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
0%
📊
BLACKHAWKS
100%
SABRES --
BLACKHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Buffalo)
SabresBUF (-3.5) 0 BlackhawksCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sabres Cover

97.7%

Blackhawks Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BUF -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)

BUF By 1 goal

6.6%

BUF By 2-3 goals

29.6%

CHI By 1 goal

0.9%

CHI By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
BUFFALO
1
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
2
BUFFALO
4
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Sabres Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blackhawks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Sabres (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Blackhawks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 CHI @ BUF 3 - 4
Apr 13, 2026 BUF @ CHI 5 - 1
Nov 21, 2025 CHI @ BUF 3 - 9
Dec 27, 2024 CHI @ BUF 2 - 6
Oct 19, 2024 BUF @ CHI 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +38.1% more
Buffalo: 18.8 vs Chicago: 11.7
Shots on Goal (L5) +22.1% more
Buffalo: 27.2 vs Chicago: 21.2
Power Play % (L5) +20.5%
Buffalo: 26.3% vs Chicago: 5.8%
Faceoff % (L5) +5.0%
Buffalo: 48.1% vs Chicago: 43.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUF Score 5.0 5
CHI Score 1.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
80%MONEY20%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
90%MONEY10%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
38%MONEY62%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
BUF
CHI
BUF
ML
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
ATS
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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