Home / NHL Projections NHL / Jets @ Golden Knights WPG @ VGK

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

35-31-12  |  Road

2
FINAL
Mon, Apr 13 • 10:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

36-26-17  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Connor Hellebuyck
GOALTENDER

Connor Hellebuyck

#37 | Goaltender
@
Carter Hart
GOALTENDER

Carter Hart

#79 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Connor Hellebuyck None-None 6.00 0.842 --
Carter Hart None-None 2.01 0.913 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
6.00 GAA Ldr 2.01
0.842 Save % Ldr 0.913
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
📊
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
JETS --
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vegas)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 Golden KnightsVGK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

30.9%

Golden Knights Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)

WPG By 1 goal

12.1%

WPG By 2-3 goals

9.3%

VGK By 1 goal

19.7%

VGK By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
WINNIPEG
2
VEGAS
Simulated Score
2
WINNIPEG
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Knights Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Knights (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Golden Knights (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 13, 2026 WPG @ VGK 2 - 6
Mar 24, 2026 VGK @ WPG 1 - 4
Jan 6, 2026 VGK @ WPG 4 - 3
Apr 3, 2025 WPG @ VGK 4 - 0
Dec 12, 2024 VGK @ WPG 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +62.1% more
Vegas: 26.9 vs Winnipeg: 16.6
Takeaways (L5) +39.6% more
Vegas: 5.6 vs Winnipeg: 4.0
Power Play % (L5) +21.7%
Vegas: 22.6% vs Winnipeg: 0.9%
Faceoff % (L5) +11.7%
Winnipeg: 65.1% vs Vegas: 53.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 1.0 2
VGK Score 2.0 6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
50%MONEY50%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
68%MONEY32%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
WPG
VGK
WPG
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late
yahoo 3 days, 18 hours ago
Red Wings' Power Play Woes Sink Them Against Jets
mlive 4 days ago
Peterka's Overtime Heroics Lift Bruins Over Jets in Season Opener
boston 5 days, 19 hours ago
Aidan O'Connell's Trade Value Soars in Wake of JJ McCarthy Deal
headtopics 1 week, 1 day ago
Eleven Ex-Bulldogs Set to Begin 2026-27 NHL Season
duluthnewstribune 1 week, 2 days ago