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COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

52-16-10  |  Road

2
FINAL
Mon, Apr 13 • 9:30 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

40-29-10  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Scott Wedgewood
GOALTENDER

Scott Wedgewood

#41 | Goaltender
@
Jake Walman
GOALTENDER

Jake Walman

#96 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Scott Wedgewood None-None 0.92 0.968 --
Jake Walman None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.92 GAA --
0.968 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
📊
OILERS
0%
AVALANCHE --
OILERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Edmonton)
AvalancheCOL (-3.5) 0 OilersEDM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

2.3%

Oilers Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

COL By 1 goal

0.9%

COL By 2-3 goals

0.3%

EDM By 1 goal

6.6%

EDM By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
COLORADO
5
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
4
COLORADO
5
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Oilers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 13, 2026 COL @ EDM 2 - 1
Mar 10, 2026 EDM @ COL 4 - 3
Nov 8, 2025 COL @ EDM 9 - 1
Feb 7, 2025 COL @ EDM 5 - 4
Jan 16, 2025 EDM @ COL 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +102.4% more
Edmonton: 27.4 vs Colorado: 13.5
Power Play % (L5) +24.2%
Edmonton: 24.7% vs Colorado: 0.6%
Faceoff % (L5) +4.0%
Edmonton: 57.4% vs Colorado: 53.4%
Takeaways (L5) +9.0% more
Colorado: 4.2 vs Edmonton: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 1.0 2
EDM Score 5.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
84%MONEY16%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
COL
EDM
COL
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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