Home / NHL Projections NHL / Rangers @ Panthers NYR @ FLA

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

33-37-9  |  Road

2
FINAL
Mon, Apr 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

37-38-4  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jonathan Quick
GOALTENDER

Jonathan Quick

#32 | Goaltender
@
Ludvig Jansson
GOALTENDER

Ludvig Jansson

#54 | D
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jonathan Quick None-None 3.09 0.813 --
Ludvig Jansson None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.09 GAA --
0.813 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
RANGERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Florida)
RangersNYR (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

15.9%

Panthers Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

FLA By 1 goal

17.5%

FLA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
NEW YORK
3
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 13, 2026 NYR @ FLA 2 - 3
Mar 29, 2026 FLA @ NYR 1 - 3
Jan 2, 2026 NYR @ FLA 5 - 1
Apr 14, 2025 NYR @ FLA 5 - 3
Dec 30, 2024 NYR @ FLA 3 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +16.1% more
Florida: 25.4 vs New York: 21.9
Faceoff % (L5) +3.7%
Florida: 56.9% vs New York: 53.2%
Power Play % (L5) +46.6%
New York: 48.5% vs Florida: 2.0%
Blocked Shots (L5) +24.9% more
New York: 12.1 vs Florida: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 1.0 2
FLA Score 3.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
62%MONEY38%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
NYR
FLA
NYR
ML
0% 0-4
80% 4-1
0% 0-4
40% 2-3
ATS
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
TTL
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
0% 0-4
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
wsvn 9 minutes ago
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
yardbarker 12 minutes ago
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 6 hours, 12 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 12 hours, 12 minutes ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago