Home / NHL Projections NHL / Wild @ Blues MIN @ STL

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

45-22-12  |  Road

3
FINAL
Mon, Apr 13 • 8:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

33-33-12  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Filip Gustavsson
GOALTENDER

Filip Gustavsson

#32 | Goaltender
@
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Filip Gustavsson None-None 5.10 0.762 --
Joel Hofer None-None 3.01 0.903 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.10 GAA Ldr 3.01
0.762 Save % Ldr 0.903
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
0%
📊
BLUES
100%
WILD --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Minnesota)
WildMIN (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wild Cover

84.1%

Blues Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1 goal

17.5%

MIN By 2-3 goals

37.2%

STL By 1 goal

6.6%

STL By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
MINNESOTA
1
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
2
MINNESOTA
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wild Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wild (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Blues (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 13, 2026 MIN @ STL 3 - 6
Mar 1, 2026 STL @ MIN 3 - 1
Oct 9, 2025 MIN @ STL 5 - 0
Mar 15, 2025 STL @ MIN 5 - 1
Jan 7, 2025 STL @ MIN 4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +52.1% more
Minnesota: 13.1 vs St. Louis: 6.3
Hits (L5) +20.6% more
Minnesota: 21.8 vs St. Louis: 17.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +18.4% more
Minnesota: 37.7 vs St. Louis: 30.8
Faceoff % (L5) +12.5%
Minnesota: 47.2% vs St. Louis: 34.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 3.0 3
STL Score 1.0 6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
64%MONEY36%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
MIN
STL
MIN
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
TTL
33% 1-2-1
100% 4-0
33% 1-2-1
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
si 3 hours, 18 minutes ago
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 9 hours, 16 minutes ago
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
yardbarker 9 hours, 28 minutes ago
Juszczyk Wins Appeal, Padres Stay Alive, Messi Bids Farewell in …
rutlandherald 1 day, 9 hours ago
Bryan Baker's Dominance Out of Bullpen Puts Rays One Win from AL…
si 1 day, 15 hours ago