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TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

7-6  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sun, Apr 12 • 4:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

10-3  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Jakob Junis
STARTING PITCHER

Jakob Junis

#16 | Relief Pitcher
@
Will Klein
STARTING PITCHER

Will Klein

#61 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jakob Junis None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 2
Will Klein None-None 1.17 -- 2.0 4
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 Ldr ERA 1.17
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 2.0
2 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 4
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
📊
DODGERS
100%
RANGERS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Texas)
RangersTEX (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

69.1%

Dodgers Cover

30.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)

TEX By 1-2 runs

19.6%

TEX By 3-4 runs

18.4%

LAD By 1-2 runs

13.6%

LAD By 3-4 runs

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
4
TEXAS
2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
TEXAS
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rangers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rangers (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Dodgers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u8.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim o8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 TEX @ LAD 5 - 2
Apr 11, 2026 TEX @ LAD 3 - 6
Apr 10, 2026 TEX @ LAD 7 - 8
Apr 20, 2025 LAD @ TEX 1 - 0
Apr 19, 2025 LAD @ TEX 3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.713
OPS
▲ .762
183
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +21.0% more
Texas: 3.9 vs Los Angeles: 3.1
Hits (L5) +73.1% more
Los Angeles: 10.7 vs Texas: 6.2
Total Bases (L5) +58.7% more
Los Angeles: 18.6 vs Texas: 11.7
Errors (L5) +51.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.6 vs Texas: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 4.0 5
LAD Score 2.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.1 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 10.7 / 6.2 6.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 2.2 / 1.5 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.7 / 8.8 11.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 18.6 / 11.7 10.0 / 14.0
Walks 3.1 / 3.9 10.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
61%MONEY39%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
TEX
LAD
TEX
ML
56% 92-73
53% 86-76
48% 79-87
57% 91-70
ATS
59% 98-67
57% 92-70
43% 72-94
61% 98-63
TTL
48% 77-82-6
53% 78-70-14
44% 70-90-6
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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