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WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

17-64  |  Road

117
FINAL
Sun, Apr 12 • 6:00 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

51-30  |  Home

130
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
CAVALIERS
0%
WIZARDS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Cleveland)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

4.5%

Cavaliers Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

WSH By 1-7 points

3.3%

WSH By 8-14 points

0.6%

CLE By 1-7 points

12.2%

CLE By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
102
WASHINGTON
119
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
102
WASHINGTON
115
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cavaliers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers (-10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u235.5 Loss
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Sim u235.5 Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 WSH @ CLE 117 - 130
Feb 11, 2026 WSH @ CLE 113 - 138
Dec 12, 2025 CLE @ WSH 130 - 126
Nov 7, 2025 CLE @ WSH 148 - 115
Feb 7, 2025 CLE @ WSH 134 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +15.1% more
Cleveland: 5.2 vs Washington: 4.5
Rebounding (L5) +12.8% more
Cleveland: 44.0 vs Washington: 39.0
Assists (L5) +9.2% more
Cleveland: 26.8 vs Washington: 24.6
Free Throw % (L5) +6.6%
Cleveland: 82.2% vs Washington: 75.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 102.0 117
CLE Score 119.0 130
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 35.8 42.0 / 44.0
Assists 26.8 / 24.6 31.0 / 29.0
Blocks 5.2 / 4.5 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.7 / 46.8 54.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 82.2 / 75.7 76.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 44.0 / 39.0 53.0 / 30.0
Steals 7.9 / 10.1 8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 16.7 20.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH Advantage
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
WSH
CLE
WSH
ML
60% 69-46
70% 112-49
56% 55-44
47% 39-44
ATS
67% 75-37-3
69% 111-49-1
56% 55-44
47% 39-44
TTL
59% 68-47
74% 119-41-1
100% 99-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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