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OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

42-27-10  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Apr 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Prudential Center
View Odds Details →

NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

40-36-3  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Artem Zub
GOALTENDER

Artem Zub

#2 | Defense
@
Nico Daws
GOALTENDER

Nico Daws

#50 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Artem Zub None-None -- -- --
Nico Daws None-None 2.84 0.900 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.84
-- Save % 0.900
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
📊
DEVILS
100%
SENATORS --
DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Ottawa)
SenatorsOTT (-3.5) 0 DevilsNJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Senators Cover

97.7%

Devils Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)

OTT By 1 goal

6.6%

OTT By 2-3 goals

29.6%

NJ By 1 goal

0.9%

NJ By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
OTTAWA
1
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
2
OTTAWA
4
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Senators Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Devils Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Senators (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Devils (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 OTT @ NJ 3 - 4
Jan 31, 2026 NJ @ OTT 1 - 4
Dec 9, 2025 NJ @ OTT 4 - 3
Sep 28, 2025 NJ @ OTT 0 - 2
Mar 22, 2025 OTT @ NJ 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +63.1%
Ottawa: 63.5% vs New Jersey: 0.4%
Hits (L5) +37.2% more
Ottawa: 23.8 vs New Jersey: 14.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +24.9% more
Ottawa: 12.3 vs New Jersey: 9.2
Faceoff % (L5) +11.0%
Ottawa: 58.7% vs New Jersey: 47.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OTT Score 5.0 3
NJ Score 1.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
50%MONEY50%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
52%MONEY48%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
OTT
NJ
OTT
ML
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
0% 0-3
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
TTL
0% 0-2-1
67% 2-1
50% 1-1-1
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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