Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Raptors BKN @ TOR

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

20-61  |  Road

101
FINAL
Sun, Apr 12 • 6:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

45-36  |  Home

136
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
📊
RAPTORS
0%
NETS --
RAPTORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Toronto)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 RaptorsTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

27.4%

Raptors Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOR -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

BKN By 1-7 points

16.9%

BKN By 8-14 points

6.8%

TOR By 1-7 points

26.8%

TOR By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
109
BROOKLYN
115
TORONTO
Simulated Score
112
BROOKLYN
115
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raptors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raptors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raptors (+23.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Raptors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o219.5 Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim u219.5 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 BKN @ TOR 101 - 136
Dec 21, 2025 TOR @ BKN 81 - 96
Nov 23, 2025 BKN @ TOR 109 - 119
Nov 11, 2025 TOR @ BKN 119 - 109
Apr 6, 2025 TOR @ BKN 120 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +17.7% more
Toronto: 28.0 vs Brooklyn: 23.8
Steals (L5) +13.5% more
Toronto: 8.4 vs Brooklyn: 7.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.1%
Toronto: 40.8% vs Brooklyn: 33.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.1%
Toronto: 50.0% vs Brooklyn: 43.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 109.0 101
TOR Score 115.0 136
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.8 / 33.7 44.0 / 26.0
Assists 28.0 / 23.8 36.0 / 21.0
Blocks 2.6 / 4.0 8.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 50.0 / 43.9 64.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 70.5 / 81.3 76.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 39.2 / 36.8 43.0 / 38.0
Steals 8.4 / 7.4 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 12.4 10.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
TOR Advantage
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
TOR Advantage
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
BKN
TOR
BKN
ML
55% 57-47
53% 50-45
55% 48-39
59% 48-34
ATS
61% 62-40-2
52% 48-44-3
55% 48-39
59% 48-34
TTL
60% 62-42
57% 54-41
100% 87-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
tmz 2 hours, 16 minutes ago
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 2 hours, 24 minutes ago
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener
headtopics 20 hours, 34 minutes ago
Mike Breen Issues Apology After LeBron James Shoots Down Embiid …
cbssports 1 day, 2 hours ago
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…
actionnews5 1 day, 2 hours ago