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UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

42-30-6  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Apr 12 • 9:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

32-37-9  |  Home

4
Goaltending
MacKenzie Weegar
GOALTENDER

MacKenzie Weegar

#52 | Defense
@
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
MacKenzie Weegar None-None -- -- --
Dustin Wolf None-None 1.00 0.966 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.00
-- Save % 0.966
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
📊
FLAMES
0%
MAMMOTH --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Calgary)
MammothUTA (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mammoth Cover

30.9%

Flames Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

UTA By 1 goal

12.1%

UTA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

CGY By 1 goal

19.7%

CGY By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
UTAH
3
CALGARY
Simulated Score
3
UTAH
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 UTA @ CGY 1 - 4
Dec 6, 2025 UTA @ CGY 0 - 2
Oct 15, 2025 CGY @ UTA 1 - 3
Apr 1, 2025 CGY @ UTA 1 - 3
Jan 2, 2025 UTA @ CGY 5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +149.1% more
Calgary: 13.1 vs Utah: 5.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +23.1% more
Calgary: 27.1 vs Utah: 22.0
Faceoff % (L5) +8.1%
Calgary: 59.1% vs Utah: 51.0%
Power Play % (L5) +31.9%
Utah: 33.0% vs Calgary: 1.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTA Score 2.0 1
CGY Score 3.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
57%MONEY43%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
UTA
CGY
UTA
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
ATS
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
TTL
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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