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VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

22-48-8  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sun, Apr 12 • 8:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

42-32-5  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Nikita Tolopilo
GOALTENDER

Nikita Tolopilo

#60 | G
@
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Nikita Tolopilo None-None 2.78 0.889 --
Lukas Dostal None-None 3.70 0.846 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.78 Ldr GAA 3.70
0.889 Ldr Save % 0.846
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
📊
DUCKS
0%
CANUCKS --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Anaheim)
CanucksVAN (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canucks Cover

15.9%

Ducks Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

VAN By 1 goal

6.6%

VAN By 2-3 goals

3.7%

ANA By 1 goal

17.5%

ANA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
VANCOUVER
3
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
2
VANCOUVER
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ducks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ducks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ducks (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Ducks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 VAN @ ANA 4 - 3
Mar 24, 2026 ANA @ VAN 5 - 3
Jan 29, 2026 ANA @ VAN 0 - 2
Nov 26, 2025 VAN @ ANA 5 - 4
Apr 5, 2025 ANA @ VAN 2 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +51.3% more
Anaheim: 6.3 vs Vancouver: 4.2
Blocked Shots (L5) +16.2% more
Anaheim: 15.0 vs Vancouver: 12.9
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.2% more
Anaheim: 28.0 vs Vancouver: 25.2
Faceoff % (L5) +1.8%
Vancouver: 49.2% vs Anaheim: 47.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VAN Score 1.0 4
ANA Score 3.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
8%MONEY92%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
85%MONEY15%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
VAN
ANA
VAN
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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