GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
37-44 | Road
110
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
41-40 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
WARRIORS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
GS By 1-7 points
12.2%
GS By 8-14 points
4.0%
LAC By 1-7 points
24.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Golden State
108
GOLDEN STATE
LA
117
LA
Simulated Score
Golden State
114
GOLDEN STATE
LA
118
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 15, 2026
GS @ LAC
126 - 121
Apr 12, 2026
GS @ LAC
110 - 115
Mar 2, 2026
LAC @ GS
114 - 101
Jan 5, 2026
GS @ LAC
102 - 103
Oct 28, 2025
LAC @ GS
79 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+19.0% more
LA: 4.2
vs
Golden State: 3.5
Assists (L5)
+20.4% more
Golden State: 28.1
vs
LA: 22.4
Steals (L5)
+15.1% more
Golden State: 9.7
vs
LA: 8.3
Turnovers (L5)
+8.4% more
Golden State: 16.1
vs
LA: 14.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GS Score
108.0
110
LAC Score
117.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 36.4
36.0 / 28.0
Assists
22.4 / 28.1
27.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.5
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 48.2
47.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
83.8 / 90.0
89.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 37.7
44.0 / 47.0
Steals
8.3 / 9.7
3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 16.1
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
GS
LAC
GS
ML
60%
59-40
55%
95-79
55%
45-37
58%
49-35
ATS
66%
65-33-1
58%
101-73
55%
45-37
58%
49-35
TTL
59%
58-40-1
77%
134-40
100%
82-0
100%
84-0
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