CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
43-38 | Road
110
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
53-28 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
KNICKS
100%
HORNETS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+10.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY +10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
CHA By 1-7 points
23.0%
CHA By 8-14 points
27.2%
NY By 1-7 points
10.7%
NY By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
121
CHARLOTTE
New York
111
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Charlotte
105
CHARLOTTE
New York
115
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +10.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o216.5
Loss
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Sim
u216.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
CHA @ NY
110 - 96
Mar 26, 2026
NY @ CHA
103 - 114
Dec 3, 2025
CHA @ NY
104 - 119
Nov 26, 2025
NY @ CHA
129 - 101
Mar 20, 2025
NY @ CHA
98 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+49.1% more
Charlotte: 5.0
vs
New York: 2.5
Turnovers (L5)
+14.7% more
Charlotte: 14.1
vs
New York: 12.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.2%
Charlotte: 82.9%
vs
New York: 79.7%
Steals (L5)
+20.0% more
New York: 9.1
vs
Charlotte: 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
121.0
110
NY Score
111.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 34.6
32.0 / 37.0
Assists
27.2 / 23.3
25.0 / 27.0
Blocks
2.5 / 5.0
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
52.7 / 44.0
43.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
79.7 / 82.9
63.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
39.8 / 43.2
39.0 / 46.0
Steals
9.1 / 7.6
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 14.1
11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
CHA
NY
CHA
ML
61%
114-72
61%
60-39
56%
57-45
48%
40-44
ATS
67%
124-62
60%
59-40
56%
57-45
48%
40-44
TTL
72%
133-53
58%
57-42
100%
102-0
100%
84-0
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