ORLANDO
MAGICORL
45-36 | Road
108
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
55-26 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
CELTICS
0%
MAGIC
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
ORL By 1-7 points
15.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
5.8%
BOS By 1-7 points
26.2%
BOS By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
115
ORLANDO
Boston
122
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Orlando
107
ORLANDO
Boston
118
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o222.5
Loss
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Sim
u222.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
ORL @ BOS
108 - 113
Nov 23, 2025
ORL @ BOS
129 - 138
Nov 9, 2025
BOS @ ORL
111 - 107
Nov 7, 2025
BOS @ ORL
110 - 123
Apr 29, 2025
ORL @ BOS
89 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.6%
Boston: 79.6%
vs
Orlando: 74.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.4%
Boston: 41.8%
vs
Orlando: 36.4%
Blocks (L5)
+34.8% more
Orlando: 5.4
vs
Boston: 3.5
Steals (L5)
+28.8% more
Orlando: 9.7
vs
Boston: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
115.0
108
BOS Score
122.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.8 / 36.4
38.0 / 28.0
Assists
28.1 / 30.8
24.0 / 22.0
Blocks
3.5 / 5.4
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
50.7 / 50.5
41.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
79.6 / 74.0
100.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
44.4 / 45.1
46.0 / 50.0
Steals
6.9 / 9.7
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 16.0
17.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
ORL
BOS
ORL
ML
57%
61-46
61%
65-42
53%
47-41
56%
51-40
ATS
59%
61-43-3
64%
68-38-1
53%
47-41
56%
51-40
TTL
56%
60-47
57%
61-46
100%
88-0
100%
91-0
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