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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

33-33-12  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sat, Apr 11 • 5:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BLACKHAWKSCHI

28-37-14  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
@
Arvid Soderblom
GOALTENDER

Arvid Soderblom

#40 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joel Hofer None-None 3.00 0.912 --
Arvid Soderblom None-None 5.22 0.821 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 Ldr GAA 5.22
0.912 Ldr Save % 0.821
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
📊
BLACKHAWKS
100%
BLUES --
BLACKHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (St. Louis)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 BlackhawksCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

97.7%

Blackhawks Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

STL By 1 goal

6.6%

STL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

CHI By 1 goal

0.9%

CHI By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
ST. LOUIS
1
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
2
ST. LOUIS
4
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blackhawks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Blackhawks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 STL @ CHI 2 - 4
Apr 11, 2026 STL @ CHI 5 - 3
Jan 7, 2026 STL @ CHI 3 - 7
Dec 12, 2025 CHI @ STL 2 - 3
Oct 15, 2025 CHI @ STL 8 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +31.5% more
St. Louis: 19.0 vs Chicago: 13.0
Shots on Goal (L5) +31.1% more
St. Louis: 30.8 vs Chicago: 21.2
Blocked Shots (L5) +89.6% more
Chicago: 11.9 vs St. Louis: 6.3
Takeaways (L5) +12.3% more
Chicago: 4.6 vs St. Louis: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 5.0 5
CHI Score 1.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
94%MONEY6%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
STL
CHI
STL
ML
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
ATS
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
TTL
25% 1-3-1
33% 1-2-1
75% 3-1-1
33% 1-2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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