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NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

40-36-3  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sat, Apr 11 • 5:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

41-29-9  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jake Allen
GOALTENDER

Jake Allen

#34 | Goaltender
@
John Gibson
GOALTENDER

John Gibson

#36 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jake Allen None-None 3.00 0.893 --
John Gibson None-None 4.09 0.875 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 Ldr GAA 4.09
0.893 Ldr Save % 0.875
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
100%
📊
RED WINGS
0%
DEVILS --
RED WINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
DevilsNJ (-3.5) 0 Red WingsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Devils Cover

30.9%

Red Wings Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

NJ By 1 goal

12.1%

NJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

DET By 1 goal

19.7%

DET By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
5
NEW JERSEY
6
DETROIT
Simulated Score
2
NEW JERSEY
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Red Wings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Wings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Red Wings (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Red Wings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 11, 2026 NJ @ DET 5 - 3
Mar 8, 2026 DET @ NJ 3 - 0
Nov 24, 2025 DET @ NJ 3 - 4
Apr 16, 2025 DET @ NJ 5 - 2
Nov 29, 2024 NJ @ DET 5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +40.6% more
Detroit: 13.0 vs New Jersey: 9.2
Hits (L5) +31.6% more
Detroit: 20.9 vs New Jersey: 15.9
Power Play % (L5) +23.9%
Detroit: 24.3% vs New Jersey: 0.4%
Shots on Goal (L5) +25.2% more
New Jersey: 33.6 vs Detroit: 25.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NJ Score 5.0 5
DET Score 6.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
5%MONEY95%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
26%MONEY74%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NJ
DET
NJ
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
TTL
0% 0-3
0% 0-2-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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