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COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

39-28-12  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sat, Apr 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
View Odds Details →

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

47-22-10  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Jet Greaves
GOALTENDER

Jet Greaves

#73 | Goaltender
@
Jakub Dobes
GOALTENDER

Jakub Dobes

#75 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jet Greaves None-None 2.00 0.909 --
Jakub Dobes None-None 5.00 0.848 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 5.00
0.909 Ldr Save % 0.848
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
100%
📊
CANADIENS
0%
BLUE JACKETS --
CANADIENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Montreal)
Blue JacketsCBJ (-3.5) 0 CanadiensMTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Jackets Cover

30.9%

Canadiens Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MTL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)

CBJ By 1 goal

12.1%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
COLUMBUS
4
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
3
COLUMBUS
4
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Canadiens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canadiens Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Canadiens (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Canadiens (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 11, 2026 CBJ @ MTL 5 - 2
Mar 26, 2026 CBJ @ MTL 1 - 2
Nov 17, 2025 MTL @ CBJ 3 - 4
Dec 23, 2024 MTL @ CBJ 4 - 5
Nov 27, 2024 MTL @ CBJ 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +58.9% more
Montreal: 19.6 vs Columbus: 12.4
Hits (L5) +43.1% more
Montreal: 27.1 vs Columbus: 18.9
Shots on Goal (L5) +24.3% more
Montreal: 29.7 vs Columbus: 23.9
Power Play % (L5) +11.9%
Columbus: 14.2% vs Montreal: 2.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score 3.0 5
MTL Score 4.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
35%MONEY65%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
CBJ
MTL
CBJ
ML
67% 2-1
50% 1-1
33% 1-2
100% 2-0
ATS
67% 2-1
50% 1-1
100% 3-0
50% 1-1
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 1-1
67% 2-1
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 6 hours, 4 minutes ago
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
yardbarker 6 hours, 17 minutes ago
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
yardbarker 1 day ago
Canadiens' Ivan Demidov Sidelined 2-4 Weeks with Lower-Body Inju…
yardbarker 2 days, 6 hours ago
Blue Jackets' Practice Plans Shift After 4-1 Defeat to Utah Mamm…
theathleticuk 4 days, 12 hours ago