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NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

33-37-9  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Apr 11 • 5:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

47-20-12  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
@
Jake Oettinger
GOALTENDER

Jake Oettinger

#29 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Igor Shesterkin None-None 1.01 0.944 --
Jake Oettinger None-None 0.00 1.000 1
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.01 GAA Ldr 0.00
0.944 Save % Ldr 1.000
-- SO Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
📊
STARS
0%
RANGERS --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Dallas)
RangersNYR (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

15.9%

Stars Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

DAL By 1 goal

17.5%

DAL By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
NEW YORK
3
DALLAS
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Stars (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 11, 2026 NYR @ DAL 0 - 2
Dec 2, 2025 DAL @ NYR 2 - 3
Jan 7, 2025 DAL @ NYR 5 - 4
Dec 20, 2024 NYR @ DAL 3 - 1
Feb 20, 2024 DAL @ NYR 1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +36.5% more
Dallas: 29.9 vs New York: 21.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +32.5% more
Dallas: 16.1 vs New York: 12.1
Power Play % (L5) +46.9%
New York: 48.5% vs Dallas: 1.6%
Hits (L5) +26.8% more
New York: 25.4 vs Dallas: 18.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 1.0 0
DAL Score 3.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
80%MONEY20%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
NYR
DAL
NYR
ML
33% 1-2
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
40% 2-3
ATS
0% 0-3
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
TTL
100% 3-0
60% 3-2
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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